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This
lesson is mainly target on Asian Handicap betting. As we know, Asian
Handicap is stronger team giving advantage to weaker team. Thus the % of
winning for both teams is 50% - 50%. In another way, if you bet lesser
match, you have higher chance to receive return.
Risk Assessment table
|
No of bet/s |
Fraction |
% |
Explanation |
Risk |
|
1 |
1/2 |
50 |
half - half |
Highest |
|
2 |
1/4 |
25 |
quarter |
High |
|
3 |
1/8 |
12.5 |
1 out of 8 |
Above average |
|
4 |
1/16 |
6.25 |
6% |
Average |
|
5 |
1/32 |
3.125 |
3% |
Below average |
|
6 |
1/64 |
1.5625 |
1.5% |
Low |
|
7 |
1/128 |
0.78125 |
lesser than 1% |
Extremely low |
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From the table of above, if you bet 1 match,
you have 50 - 50 to win the game, and you have higher risk where you lose or
win at the end of your bet. However if you bet 2 games, there is 50 - 50 for
game A and 50 - 50 for game B. So you have 25% of risk to lose both game.
Meanwhile 3 bets will give you 12.5 % of risk to lose on
all
3 games; and so on for 4, 5, 6 and 7 bets.
But this table can be the winning reference table as well. Example, if you
bet on 4 games, you have 6.25% of risk to lose all 4 games and in another
way, you also have 6.25% to win all 4 games.
Case study:
If I have $1000, how many match should I bet on? If I put 1000 on one match.
I have the 50-50, either win 1000 or lose 1000. It is very high risk to lose
the 1000 but also high chance to win the 1000.
But if I choose to separate my bets into 4, then I will get a 1/16 chance to
win all bets and I have a lower risk to lose my 1000 by just one bet.
Meanwhile, I might win 3 out of 4; 2 out of 4 or 1 out of 4. Although it
doesn't guarantee a return but at least it lower the risk of our bets.
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